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South Korean presidential candidate Moon Jae-in of the Democratic Party greets his supporters during an election campaign in Seoul on Monday. South Korea’s presidential hopefuls made a final push for votes http://www.ottawasenatorsteamstore.com/adidas-christian-jaros-jersey , with the left-leaning candidate a clear favorite, as North Korea assailed the outgoing conservative government a day before the polls. Photo: AFP
Improving Sino-South Korean ties will be one of the top priorities of South Korea's new administration no matter who wins in the presidential election on Tuesday, and the deployment of a US-backed anti-ballistic missile system will be a key issue, Chinese analysts said.


The election is being held several months earlier than usual, following the impeachment of former president Park Geun-hye for her involvement in a corruption scandal.


Though public opinion polls show that Moon Jae-in, the Democratic Party of Korea candidate, holds a safe lead with around 40 percent, the outcome, with five major candidates among 13, is not absolutely predictable.


"Moon will most possibly win by a landslide," Zheng Jiyong, director of the Center for Korean Studies at Fudan University, told the Global Times.


But Lü Chao, an expert on Korean studies at the Liaoning Academy of Social Sciences, said either Moon or the unconventional candidate of the People's Party, Ahn Cheol-soo, will most likely win.


"Though Moon is far ahead in opinion polls, there is the possibility that conservative voters who support Liberty Korea Party candidate Hong Jun-pyo will switch their support to Ahn to prevent Moon from winning, who is known for his moderate approach toward North Korea," Lü told the Global Times.


Polls put Moon's support at around 40 percent, with most of his supporters being young people. On the other hand, tech guru and businessman Ahn's numbers are still fluctuating and could rise, Lü said.


Improving Sino-South Korean ties will figure prominently in the agenda of whoever wins, because South Korea's economy cannot bear broken trade ties, the experts stressed.


"South Korea's trade volume with China is bigger than its volume with the US and Japan combined. They have already felt the loss from the cooling of ties since the deployment of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) anti-missile system. South Korean business circles expect the new president to come up with some ideas to improve bilateral ties," Lü said.


"It is important for South Korea to reassess its security dependence on the US and on China for economic development," said Zheng.


Experts believe that the new administration's policy on the deployment of THAAD will be the key to improving Sino-South Korean ties. "After all, South Korea doesn't have many cards to play for a better relationship with China. THAAD is a crucial bargaining chip," Lü said.


"It is not desirable for the South Korean government to hastily deploy THAAD at this politically sensitive time with the presidential election, without going through a democratic process, an environmental assessment or a public hearing," Moon was quoted as saying in an interview with the Washington Post last week.

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